Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
National polls are effectively irrelevant right now for two reasons: One...it's February, Romney was ahead of Obama in polls around this time as well. Two, it's the electoral college. Bernie could beat Trump in the popular vote by 5 million votes or more and still lose the election. I just do not see Trump losing any states Romney had, and I think he'll flip Ohio, Michigan and Florida and that takes him to the White House. It sucks, but Trump has the more fierce supporters and the GOP overall is more enthusiastic than the Democrats. I think nominating Ted Cruz would destroy their chances, he's significantly worse than Trump. As I've already said you take out Mexicans and Muslims and Trump is a moderate Republican.
As to finance reform, Bernie isn't doing anything about it either. Republican Congress or Senate Control = Never happening.
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I agree that national head-to-head polls are irrelevant right now, but don't agree that the electoral math is favourable for Trump. He does very poorly among non-white and Latino voters, and if turnout on the right drops he will be in big trouble in some of the key Obama swing states. He can win Ohio, and still lose if he can't pick up Florida, Nevada, Colorado, etc.
The irony of all of this is that as Trump moves toward locking up the nomination (he isn't there yet, but it would be foolish jerry t to acknowledge his big advantage), the GOP is overlooking their most "electable" candidate in Rubio. I actually think Rubio beats Clinton easily (just my opinion, based on nothing more than a hunch) but Trump faces a huge uphill battle in the electoral college.