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Old 02-14-2016, 11:58 AM   #121
Illuminaughty
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Join Date: Aug 2015
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkGio View Post
Here's who I can see as sellers at the deadline (not necessary declared sellers right now):
-- Edmonton
-- Calgary
-- Vancouver
-- Arizona
-- Minnesota
-- Carolina
-- Montreal
-- Toronto
-- Winnipeg
-- Buffalo
-- Columbus
-- Philly
-- Ottawa

Only Jersey is really out of a playoff spot but still in the thick of it. I would hazard to guess that historical 4-6 points out of a playoff spot come deadline day (with equal games in hand) makes you a seller.

Now, with the cap crunch its not a question of who's a buyer, its a question of who's got space to buy. I disagree that just because a team is signing their players that makes them a buyer (or conversely, not a seller), I think it simply means that any given season any roster could make the playoffs if they perform in the regular season, so long term its better to retain your best players.

Right now the playoff bracket turnover rate is ~50% for two years in a row. That means half the current playoff teams were not a playoff team last year.
Yeah I can't see that many sellers either, teams are more primed to go for it if they are close, then they are to sell off assets. If your only 4-6 points out I don't see how you don't go for it, especially if you can bring in some help through trade without taking away from your roster.

Not sure what the cap crunch has to do with picking up players on expiring UFA contracts in the summer.

Last edited by Illuminaughty; 02-14-2016 at 01:02 PM.
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