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troutman · 02-08-2016, 10:04 AM

Math Says There’s No Way These Conspiracy Theories Are Real

Especially, where the conspiracy must involve 1000 agents or more.

the results of this model suggest that large conspiracies (≥1000 agents) quickly become untenable and prone to failure

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/next/ph...ries-are-real/

“Historical examples show that even in incredibly secretive organizations, there is always some possibility of an accidental or intentional intrinsic leak whether by whistle-blowing or ineptitude,” he wrote.

Using data from real-world affairs, including the NSA PRISM project, the Tuskegee syphilis experiments, and the FBI’s 20-year-long forensics scandal that was exposed earlier this year, Grimes created an algorithm that calculated the probability of a cover-up being revealed. He then applied that algorithm to four prominent conspiracy theories—the moon landing hoax, climate change fraud, vaccination conspiracy, and a suppressed cancer cure.

02-08-2016, 10:04 AM	#41
troutman Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Crowsnest Pass Exp:	Math Says There’s No Way These Conspiracy Theories Are Real Especially, where the conspiracy must involve 1000 agents or more. the results of this model suggest that large conspiracies (≥1000 agents) quickly become untenable and prone to failure http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/next/ph...ries-are-real/ “Historical examples show that even in incredibly secretive organizations, there is always some possibility of an accidental or intentional intrinsic leak whether by whistle-blowing or ineptitude,” he wrote. Using data from real-world affairs, including the NSA PRISM project, the Tuskegee syphilis experiments, and the FBI’s 20-year-long forensics scandal that was exposed earlier this year, Grimes created an algorithm that calculated the probability of a cover-up being revealed. He then applied that algorithm to four prominent conspiracy theories—the moon landing hoax, climate change fraud, vaccination conspiracy, and a suppressed cancer cure. Last edited by troutman; 02-08-2016 at 10:07 AM.