Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
Clinton winning by a coin toss is symbolic with a loss to Sanders in the eyes of the media and voting public. Honestly, if Sanders was 10 years - heck, make it 5 years - younger than he is now, the Clinton camp would already be dead on its feet. The truth is, she isn't a compelling candidate. She has a lot of baggage, experience that she has mostly made up, and she stands on the wrong side of a lot of bad issues (health-care, gay rights, Iraq).
She now has to fight an uphill battle against a revolutionary socialist in his mid-70s, with no money, riding a protest vote on a platform that would be better suited to Woodrow Wilson's rather than Barack Obama's America. This is America now.
If Sanders wins in NH, which he is polling to do, then the fight becomes that much more serious. If her lead continues to shrink in South Carolina, then you will see panic buttons being pushed.
A few observations going forward:
a) Can the Sanders campaign scale national? My gut says no.
b) Up until now, Sanders has played the good guy. Now that he is a serious contender, is he going to start going after Clinton on her dubious record?
c) The FBI and the emails is a tumor in the Clinton campaign that will either be removed or kill her campaign.
Very, very exciting 8 months ahead of us.
|
I think that this was the litmus test to see if Bernie actually had a chance against a candidate like Clinton.
Now I expect that the gloves are really going to come off and things are going to get nasty.
To me if Bernie is going to be the counter revolutionary candidate he really has to go after Clinton's donation list and frame her as being too tied to the evil mega corps, and he also has to go after her trustworthiness, which I think if you polled the voters would be low.
He needs to replay over and over again her constructed truths and attack her character.
For Hillary it might be easier, she needs to frame Bernie as a crackpot socialist with ideas that can't be supported by reality.
For Trump this loss was bigger then people think because it exposed a fundamental flaw in how he campaigns, he's popular but he's not stirring a grass roots feet on the ground strategy instead going for the big glitzy events.