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Old 02-02-2016, 11:08 AM   #3281
Lanny_McDonald
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Interesting results. Cruz with a 3.3 point victory over Trump, but only a one delegate advantage. Most importantly, Rubio only back by one delegate. Clinton and Sanders in a statistical tie, having to go to a coin toss for the extra delegate. What this says is the front runners are both in trouble.

Clinton was hoping for a big lead coming out of Iowa and didn't get it. Sanders splitting the delegates has to have the Clinton camp thinking to themselves, not again. She got the super delegates, but those delegates can come and go as they please. It will all be up to Sanders to make a statement in New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina by the end of the month. If he can have some strong showings and hold the momentum going into Super Tuesday Clinton could be staring another upset in the face.

On the Republican side, make no mistake, this is headed to a brokered convention. This is between three candidates, with only two of them being viable. Trump will carry a lot of delegates, but he won't get the support required to win the nomination. There will be a lot of horse trading going on with the other candidates for their delegates, as the Cruz and Rubio jockey for support to take the legs out from underneath Trump. This may end up with a floor battle over who can get the most support from the other candidates, and then one falling on their sword for the other to gain the delegate count to finally take Trump out of the running. It is still going to come down to Cruz or Rubio and which of the two the conservative king makers is most comfortable with. I firmly believe it will be Rubio. The Republicans can do themselves a great deal of good by nominating a Hispanic from a swing state. I still believe a Rubio-Kasich ticket is the best the Republicans have strategically, and think those in the Republican Party will come to that conclusion on their own as well.

Last edited by Lanny_McDonald; 02-02-2016 at 11:14 AM.
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