Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
These are all the same things over and over we've been hearing for months about Trump. To date they've consistently, and often spectacularly, been wrong. I still think far too many people think this is a sub 5% chance of happening rather than a 40% chance of happening. You are overselling the average American voter, the same American voter that consistently votes against their own best interest.
You also have to remember Hillary has skated through a very easy primary. Sanders almost appears scared to attack her. Her numbers will go down once she takes a beating, and there's a lot to go after her for. But Sanders is a very easy candidate to run against too. That's another thing people aren't factoring in as to why this can actually happen: The potential Democratic opponents are both deeply flawed and easy to attack. When Bernie has to get specific and not speak in his own type of populism (which he is using I'm sure you can see), he's probably finished.
10 days ago he had Trump with little chance of winning Iowa. Today he has him as the overwhelming favorite.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...an/#polls-only
Now I am projecting to a degree, but the consensus is if Trump wins the first 3 primaries, it's over. Nate is now predicting Trump will win the first 3 primaries. So I suppose I am putting words in his mouth, but it's not a stretch. |
Again, winning the GOP isn't the same race as the general election.