Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
The thing is outside the staunch Bush/Kasich/Rubio supporters, most of the rest of the GOP base will fall in line with Trump as a candidate, particularly when the alternatives are Hillary or a person they view as a socialist (in the scary, Glenn Beck way). Trump as GOP nominee is no different than most GOP nominees, even as insane as he is he's virtually locked in with 40% of the popular vote already. He just needs to find 10% more, might not be easy but certainly doable.
And a brokered convention is never happening. Hillary or Sanders will win in a landslide if they eliminate Trump that way. The level of excitement for Bush or Rubio brokered would likely result in the lowest GOP generally election turnout ever.
|
Well 50% is largely irrelevant. Can he swing states that voted for Obama? Certainly not Latino-Heavy swing states like Florida, Colorado and New Mexico. There's even the possibility that the Latino vote may bring Arizona and Texas into play, at least forcing the republicans to play defence in those states. Trump would probably have only one path to victory: Ohio plus a whole lot of other smaller states in the rust belt and Midwest. It's a really narrow and unlikely path.