Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
People are seriously, deeply underselling Trump. Or more to the point, Trump supporters. This is the most amazing collection of people supporting a candidate I've seen. People want to think that because his base is primarily stupid, angry and ignorant people, it's just GOPers, but it's really not. People don't want to believe there's a lot of stupid people who support Democrats, but there is. And this time they're supporting Trump. There's a lot of independents too who are stupid and ignorant. Add all that up, and then add in the likely anti-Clinton/anti-Socialism vote for Hillary/Bernie, and Trump is pretty close to having the election won. I said it before and I still think it's slightly better than 50/50 that one year from today it really is President Donald Trump.
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But it is just GOPers. His approval/disapproval ratio among democrats and independents is worse than any potential nominee has basically ever seen. It is not going to far to suggest he is not just not liked but is despised by those groups. In fact out of all the nominees the only candidate that has a favourable ratio is Sanders. As Trumps favourability increased within the GOP it was marked by a larger offset among independents and democrats. Now of course never say never but he's got a massively huge uphill battle if he wins the nomination. And I don't think it helps him among the independents to tie his wagon up to Palin like he did. It'll play well with the Tea Party folk he's courting right now but everyone else thinks she's an idiot.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...ection-voters/