Personally, I think it is more likely than not that Jesus existed. What his exact nature was, I won't even begin to say. I just find it hard to believe that a religion as big as Christianity could develop without a very special event occurring. Was the special event a birth of a messiah? A magician/illusionist? A revolutionary? Who knows. I feel there is at least enough circumstancial evidence that it was at least possible and no one can say he didn't exist. Anyone who says 100% that Jesus did not exist just has an axe to grind with Christians.
BTW, I am not a religious person and have little invested in this. I do think however that Christians are getting unfairly hammered lately. Why can't people just let others believe what they want without getting on their case and trying to prove them wrong? I don't believe in African tribal pantheism, but I wouldn't see any good in trying to make them non-believers.
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"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
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