Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
It's gonna be an advantage and a hindrance. Yes, she will be able to use that experience to an advantage in showing voters she understands foreign policy well. But the GOP will also be able, right or not, to link her directly to the current US foreign policy, which most Americans are not supportive of. So it both helps and hurts her.
Fair or not she has to run a nearly flawless campaign, any slip ups and she's probably cooked. That's why favorability matters, Ben Carson says all kinds of stupid #### and he still beats her in a hypothetical right now. It's why the Dems want Trump or Bush so bad, because they're the only two with worse favorability ratings than Hillary.
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At this point so far out from the election - Clinton's favorability ratings don't matter at all. They fly all over the place during an election campaign. In the 1992 election, Bill Clinton had a favourability rating of 19% vs 30% unfavourable in early 1992. By the time September came around he was up 37% vs 36%.
Basically people will start to like whoever they plan to vote for, since no one knows who she'll be running against at this point - it doesn't matter at all.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...atings-matter/