Quote:
Originally Posted by blankall
I can see that. But you'd think that Turkey would also realize the risk of a newly formed Kurdish state at their border.
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As a quick primer in Kurdish politics:
The Kurds are not currently actively attempting to create an independent Kurdish state or to (officially) politically unite the Kurdish areas in Iran, Iraq, Turkey and Syria. This became the main policy I think about a decade ago when the PKK decided to give up on armed struggle and work through Turkish parliamentary democracy.
AFAIK their current goal is to set up autonomous areas in each of those four countries.
Iraq has already had an autonomous Kurdistan since the 70's, and obviously right now they're pretty much free to do what they want as the current Iraq government is kind of a joke. (It's worth noting though that there's a lot of political infighting between
Syria has an effectively autonomous Kurdish area (Western Kurdistan or Rojava) since the start of the civil war, but that's recognized only by the other rebel groups.
If I've understood correctly (don't quote me on this) Iranian Kurds tend to more or less content being just Iranians, although Kurdish nationalism has been on the rise I over there too I think.
In Turkey the Kurds are essentially a part of the new left alliance similar to Syriza in Greece or Podemos in Spain. They're pro-minority rights, but beyond that there hasn't been a strong push for even an autonomous Kurdish area in Turkey. The political side has strong connections to PKK, but the PKK hasn't shown an interest in active violence in a good while. I'm not sure if that has changed since Erdogan started his anti-Kurdish politics. (Which was a "funny" move considering that a decade ago Erdogan ran on a platform of settling the Kurdish issue through peaceful means.)
TL;DR:
It seems really unlikely that an independent Kurdistan would emerge any time soon, and even if it did it's unlikely that the Kurdish areas in Iran or Turkey would be interested in joining.