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Originally Posted by troutman
Fine. Explain why these same goalies were ok last year.
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Sure... they're playing worse than they did last year. Pucks are getting through them that last year would have been stopped. Are you asking me to go into mechanics and playing style? Eg, whether they should be playing deeper in the net or are holding the blocker too high? If so, I'm not qualified to assess goalie performance in that way, so I can't help.
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We've seen plenty of goalies put up bad numbers in Edmonton, an
If Price were our goalie, how many more points would we have? A few I think, but we would still be struggling.
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Doing some really basic math, Price's all situations save percentage is .936 (Calgary's as a team is .871). If you take .936 and multiply by the 481 shots the Flames have faced, that's 30.7 goals against; call it 31 (the Habs have in fact allowed 32 goals). Instead, the Flames have let in 62 goals.
Would the Flames be in better shape letting in 50% as many goals? Er, yes. Yes they would. Shorthand from previous large-sample analysis suggests that 3 goals is worth a standings point.
So, we're talking about 10 points in the standings in terms of the difference between Price's save percentage and Calgary's team save percentage, just this season so far.
Obviously there are other factors that account for this. But that gap is just so huge that it's hard for me to say that, e.g., Dougie Hamilton turnovers are worth a 100% increase in goals against.