Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
The resignation to complete technologization has been termed by a favourite blogger of mine as the "Borg Complex." It is just faith, pure and simple. Companies have always spent billions of dollars with increasingly marginal return, and it doesn't mean that they will inevitably someday be successful.
Artificial intelligence, for example, is decades, maybe centuries away, from any meaningful advance.
In regards to automation, we have only advanced the capacity to which computers can process information (even this has a cap, when we get transistors down to the atomic level, Moore's Law just stops working). We haven't solved software problems, economies of scale issues, or the growing birth dearth. All of these are issues that will incredibly impede, slow, or make impossible the progress you think is inevitable.
The truth is, all technological innovation is contingent, over-hyped, and always exposed to the human component.
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maybe the gate size has shrunk, but how about other materials? GaAs? how about using photons instead of electrons? Moore's law no longer isn't going to be the limit in optics.
why do you consider Moore's law to be a limit, when it comes to AI?
what software problems do you see as the road block (instead of speed bump)
EDIT : in case i wasn't clear, the point wasn't to nitpick and show that you aren't a tech person, but the point is to show tech doesn't hit a limit (nor does it take a quantum leap) as much as the world thinks. Sometimes they take big leaps, sometimes they get slowed to a crawl over what seems trivial but can catch you treading water.