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Old 10-19-2015, 08:56 PM   #498
GGG
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Quote:
Originally Posted by diane_phaneuf View Post
when you're range is 123 to 168, then saying a max is 185 (which is basically an outlier) you're never going to be wrong

this is a huge liberal victory, they smashed the competition

when your headline at the 308 is "Likely Liberal victory, possible Conservative upset" you're way off
But the popular vote margin between those scenarios is like 37% to 42%. This is within the margin of errors of polling.

I think your asking too much of polling.
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