Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
Seems likely to me that even with a minority government, Harper can't possibly stick around for the next election.
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Harper won't even last that long unless he (miraculously) wins a majority tomorrow. If Harper tries to remain as PM in a scenario where the Conservatives win a plurality of seats but not a majority, the Liberals and NDP will vote against the first confidence motion (Speech from the Throne), and the Leader of the Opposition will then ask the Governor General for permission to try to win the confidence of the House. Harper will whine and complain and claim that the opposition parties are staging a "coup" and "going against the democratic will of the people", but they'd be acting perfectly within the rules of the Westminster Parliamentary system. Once he realizes there's nothing he can do about it, Harper will resign.
So unless the Conservatives somehow pull off the most amazing come-from-behind victory in Canadian election history and win a majority despite every poll showing them trailing, Harper's time as PM is very nearly over.