I think the polls pretty much show that the Conservatives have effectively polarized the country.
No matter what they do, 30% of Canadians will vote for them, and another 3-5% can be swayed to vote for them. But roughly 60% of voters just want them gone, and just needed to figure out which banner to unite under.
It now appears increasingly like that will be the "devil-you-think-you-know" flag of the Liberals rather than the "take-a-chance-on-me" NDP, which is unsurprising. But for most Canadians, so long as it's one or the other, it appears they'll be fairly happy.
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