Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
Those Green numbers seem a lot higher than they've typically been during the campaign.
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I agree that Greens at 7.5 seems higher than one would expect. However, one plausible explanation that comes to mind is that there were a significant number of green voters who were willing to vote NDP when it seemed like they might form government or opposition; but now that they've dropped back into a solid third place, those voters are going to return to the greens.
In regards to the greens having a shot at 3 seats, there's nowhere east of the continental divide where they're being given better than about 13% on 308. Other than Victoria and Saanich, Esquimalt and Nanaimo seem like the next likely to go green (both projecting around 20%).
EDIT: I'm wrong about that first point; looking back at EKOS' history, I think Marchhare is right, their methodology must just be pretty green-favorable, they've done well going back to before the NDP slide started.