Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
Nanos was pretty accurate overall in the last few federal electiond, predicting support of all five major parties within the MOE of the final pre-election poll.
Final Nanos poll - Actual vote share
2011 Election
CPC 38.7 - 39.6
NDP 30.5 - 30.6
Lib 20.9 - 18.9
Bloc 5.0 - 6.1
Grn 3.7 - 3.9
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Except you are not using their own methodology. On Election Sunday they were close but on Saturday they polled BOTH the CPC and the NDP at 33.8%....? Nanos' Final numbers using their three day averages were:
2011 Election
CPC 36.9 - 39.6
NDP 31.6 - 30.6
Lib 21.3 - 18.9
Bloc 5.2 - 6.1
Grn 3.7 - 3.9
It seems they really blew the CPC and Liberal numbers. As they likely are doing again.