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Old 10-04-2015, 02:45 PM   #195
Jiggy_12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jayswin View Post
Is it a baseball thing to be this confident in a team heading into the playoffs? I get the not caring about the matchup part, but a lot of comments almost make it seem like it's pretty much a forgone conclusion we'll walk all over any team we play in the ALDS.

Maybe it's the hockey fan in me, but I'm worried no matter who we play and don't feel the level of confidence you guys do, especially considering it's only 5 games.
The 5 game series is the only thing that scares me. If Price is off his game in game 1, it could be hard to get back on track.

But if you take every 5 game segment the Jays have played since July 31st (trade deadline), on only 3 occasions did they lose 3 out of 5 games. And I'm talking every single 5 game segment, meaning each day starts and ends a separate 5 game block. That's 56 segments, and our record would be 53-3 given those parameters (if each block of games was considered a series)

1. Aug 14-19 (Before Stroman came back, Hutchison had one of the L's)
2. Sept 19-22 (2 of the losses were by 1 run, no Tulowitzki either)
3. Sept 30 - Oct 4 (during this streak of semi-meaningless games)

If you change the parameters to 7 game segments and try to find 4 losses, it only happened once and that was starting the 7 game segment in literally the first game played without Tulowitzki.. (Excluding after we lose today, but you can completely discount this blip due to the situation)

Jays fans have every reason in the world to be confident. We are absolute world series favorites. Baseball is a lot different from hockey in that luck plays only a very small factor.

Last edited by Jiggy_12; 10-04-2015 at 02:53 PM.
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