Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
It's actually extremely fascinating stuff. They use quite a bit more than points. It's called Prospect Cohort Success (PCS) model and they are building a database that finds similar prospects and determines potential NHL success. It uses scoring rates and adjusts for era and league (ie QMJHL now vs 10 years ago), height, and age (fairly specific, not just draft year). Basically, it finds players that followed similar routes with similar attributes and gives you the rate of success (200 games in nhl I believe?) for those players.
Really interesting. Kylington had very few comparables as he scored so early.
Andersson was also analyzed:
Here's the introduction to it. Looks to be a fantastic tool they continue to tweak:
http://canucksarmy.com/2015/5/26/dra...-success-model
I highly recommend reading it. |
Hmmm yah seems to be a lot of effort put into it. The system lost a lot of credibility for me though when they were 100% convinced that Shinkaruk would be a better player than Horvat. One of the main points was Horvat was well under PPG in his draft year. I watched the Knights a lot that year and the talent level was obvious. I wanted Monahan, Nichushkin or Horvat that year with the 6th pick in that order.
Anyways my main point was it's going to be awesome this year to watch them and Oiler bloggers, who also like the duo, drool over our prospects.
They were also very high on Mangiapane FWIW.