Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
It's confusingly drafted, but the way I read the narrative is that 18% of the undecideds are "leaning" conservative, not that the undecided voters have a particular predominant slant. But I would not conclude from the smaller sub-sample of undecided voters that they are likelier as a group to vote conservative. Basically, of that 14% group, 18% are leaning conservative, and 13% are leaning either Liberal or NDP. Given the larger MOE of that subsample, that is pretty much what you are calling "a functional tie".
|
Their view is: "The advantage for Conservative Len Webber lies in the undecided voters who are leaning, where he leads with 18% to just 7% for the NDP and 6% for the Liberals." I'm not sure what's gained by your combining the Liberal and NDP leaning undecided numbers to get 13%?
Quote:
|
Not to mention that two-thirds of that 14% weren't leaning one way or the other at this point.
|
Certainly true and as I say, early days so all of this will probably shift dramatically.