Quote:
Originally Posted by SebC
Confederation is definitely up for grabs, but unless you find a poll showing otherwise, assume that only Grant or Webber or will grab it. threehundredeight.com's riding projection shows those two as the front-runners. |
I don't necessarily trust 308's riding projections. In my riding, they have the projection like this:
NDP 42
Lib 24
Green 23
Con 12
When it is much more likely to be something like this:
Green 38
NDP 36
Lib 14
Con 12
The mathematical formula is good for the overall projection, but isn't nuanced enough to trust on single ridings.