Quote:
Originally Posted by Vulcan
Despite the polls giving them a chance, I don't see the Liberals winning.
The NDP have a base in Quebec with possibilities in BC and Ontario. At one time watching the election from out west, whoever got Quebec won the election. Ontario split their ridings and we were just an afterthought. It's not quite that way now but still getting Quebec is big.
The CPC have the Prairies and possibilities in Ontario and BC.
The Liberals have the Maritimes, which is too small to make a difference, with possibilities in Ontario. The Liberals just don't have enough of a base.
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The only caveat to that is if the Conservatives continue to slip in the polls and their voters in Ontario and BC go Liberal in an attempt to block an NDP government.