If you read fivethirtyeight they have some excellent articles on why sanders and trump won't win
Essentially trumps support has peaked as in unfavourables American until republicans are too high and he only looks strong when the other candidates are splitting the anti trump vote and eventually it will coalesce behind a real candidate.
With Sanders he polls 5% with African Americans and that has not improved along with his overall poll numbers. If he can't connect with African Americans he won't win anything past Iowa and New Hampshire. Also he has zero party endorsements which historically have been better indicators of success than polling and he lacks money. So he is missing the key elements that made Obama a successful outside candidate
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