Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
Bouma's p/60 was 1.97 last year. That's quite good. The previous 3 seasons it was 1.05, .7, an .64. So either you think he suddenly got much, much better at producing offense 5 on 5, or he probably produced at a higher level than his actual skill last year, and is due to return to Earth this season, as guys do every single year.
Which is why you usually want to look over several years to assess performance.
This is why I don't post in this forum hardly at all. A lot of you guys try to just tear down evidence without even attempting to understand the context, or worse, dismissing it.
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There's some irony in your post, because there are different ways to interpret data.
Re: Bouma's P/60 numbers quoted above:
a) Last year's number is not sustainable because it's higher than previous years. He will come back down to earth, as you say. This is a possibility.
b) His P/60 has been trending up over the last 4 years as he has been developing as a young player. This is a possibility.
The fact that you unequivocally dismiss any notion of the possibility of interpretation b), and condescendingly compare those who don't agree with your subjective opinion to anti-vaccination advocates, is probably the reason that you feel there's so much vitriol towards you.
I look at that data and think "wow, Bouma's trending in the right direction in his development, that's great" and also "there's a possibility next year he could regress some". My issue with an immoveable belief in interpretation a) above is that it's almost like saying "good numbers are bad", which doesn't feel right to me.
So how do you reconcile your view of Bouma's numbers in the context of being a young, developing player? It seems to me like looking at those four numbers and saying he's due to return back to Earth next season, is in itself lacking the context that you're admonishing this forum for having a lack of.
PS. I think partly people have gotten annoyed with you this past season because posters like me take threads off topic in replying to your posts, so every thread turns into an advanced stats debate. Sorry about that.