Quote:
Originally Posted by Jacks
There was a story yesterday that at the riding level the CPC holds a massive fundraising advantage, even more than at the party level. There was also a story last week that the NDP is in real trouble in Quebec when it comes to fundraising, some of the ridings have less than $15,000 in assets. I'm thinking that this may expain further why the Tories aren't going after the NDP. The Libs may be beaten down but they have plenty of cash (or credit) to fight an extended writ period. While the NDP may be riding high they will run out of money pretty quickly, especially at the riding level. Before anyone starts to tell me that money didn't hurt the NDP in Alberta keep in mind that there is no split on the right federally, the split is on the left.
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That's why the election gets called early and for a longer campaign period. Harper has the most money and if he calls the election to allow for a longer period they can outspend their opponents more. The NDP won a lot of seats without spending a dime last time around, but to keep those seats costs money. I expect the election to be tighter than people think at this point because the Liberals aren't cratering; they're 3-4 points behind and that's hardly insurmountable.
There is a vote split, but that can also be dealt with pretty fast. Plenty of people will vote strategically and if they think they can knock of a CPC MP somewhere with a clear front-runner that vote can galvanize. We've seen it before both provincially and federally and I'm sure that has to be a worry for the CPC in some areas.