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Originally Posted by Hugh Jahrmes
I can't see Gio taking any deal with a sub-6.0 AAV, and to me it borders on disrespectful to expect him to.
The more i think about it, the more I can see him getting his 8 year retirement contract. Likely shakes down to 3 choices, in order of likelihood imo
1) 7-8 year deal in the 6.75AAV range. IIRC the first year of Brodie's contract this season has a nod to Gio's status in the form of a 3.9M'ish salary. I can see Gio's contract being in the 10M range for the first 2 seasons then tailing off quickly. This would also have Hamilton's salary surpass him around the time his play likely does as well.
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Arguably here (despite what many people here think.. I swear he becomes older and crappier every day), this contract probably undervalues Gio in years 4-6.. That's the sacrifice he makes to ensure BT is able to build a bulletproof lineup around him, imo. This also hopefully imposes a "Lidstrom" cap on the team for the majority of the contract; I just can't see Monahan or Gaudreau pushing for a larger cap hit than the captain. Front load their contracts and hire them financial advisors.. They'll be fine.
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I think an 8 year deal for a 33 yr old Gio can only be done if the cap hit is close to 5M per year. No point in doing 8 year deal, at that age, unless you get massive cap savings in first 3 to 5 yrs.
On open market, he could easily sign 9M per yr for 3 yrs IMO. 10M+ for 1 yr deal. Problem is that cap hit takes away lots of cap space so we can't do much else.
5 yr deal 7M, maybe a little more but not much. Front loaded within the rules. This is not perfect for either side.