Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
People with similar size and similar junior numbers only go on to success (by which I mean playing 200 NHL games) 19.5% of the time with respect to his 2014 season, and 29% of the time with respect to his 2015 season.
Of those comparable players who DID go on to play 200 games, they averaged between 35 and 37 points per 82 games played.
You never know, because he has the tools, but based on his track record he is just a bad bet in the top 10. However, there are good reasons to think his junior numbers are under-representative of his talent, so a mid first round selection or later I think could be a decent gamble. But there will probably be other guys available who would be better ones at 15. Thankfully, some neanderthal GM is going to say "KIDS GOT SIZE" and take him before then, so it's likely a moot point.
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Hard to use historical numbers as predictors. He likely would've had WAY more points had Bennett been centering him all year instead of just the last few weeks.
Can't teach size. And assuming you were watching the playoffs you'd know size does matter. I'm not saying lets grab all the unskilled big guys. But big guys with skating, skill and physical play? I'm down to trade up for those types of players.