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Old 06-23-2015, 10:58 PM   #2241
Oling_Roachinen
Franchise Player
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bizaro86 View Post
I don't think we're at lynch or lose yet,
Why not?

Night 0 - Me
Night 1 - Girlysports
Night 2 - No one
Night 3 - Maybe SebC
Night 4 - Someone (unrevealed, probably turned)
Night 5 - Someone else (50/50 chance of turned)

We almost certainly have 1 turned because no one revealed. SebC could have passed it to the Host. I don't think SebC would have. I think he would have sent it someone he considered town. I'm fairly confident that "Someone" was not host and turned.

If it's the other scenario:
Night 0 - Me
Night 1 - Girlysports
Night 2 - No one
Night 3 - Someone
Night 4 - SebC (unrevealed, probably turned)
Night 5 - Someone else (50/50 chance of turned)

That's even worse because we know Someone was turned. And again SebC I believe would be passing it to a pretty likely townie. Maybe they didn't turn, maybe tonight they will find out they had the spore. Hopefully.

But the possibility exists there are 5 scum. If that's the case, if we lynch a townie, we have a 50/50 chance of losing (Host can tell who to send the spore to).

We may not be in a lynch or lose scenario. But the only people who know for sure are the scum.
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