View Single Post
Old 06-23-2015, 08:33 PM   #2211
GGG
Franchise Player
 
GGG's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
Exp:
Default

Let's walk through the oling is Host strategy

- night 0 spore is passed to town and turns xxx
- night 1 spore is passed to girly and oling claims he sent it
- night 2 spore sits and was lynched with girly
- night 3 spore is passed Seb / other converted
- night 4 spore is passed other / Seb converted or devo recall
- night 5 spore is passed ???

So if Oling is scum worst case is game over 3 scum and 3 turned. Best case is 3 scum 1 turned with a 50/50 win prob tonight by securing a mislynch. I don't think Oling mixes it up today going full boar after Squiggs given they just need one mislynch. This only makes sense if Starseed, Mrkajz and Oling are the scum team.

So I'd accept a turned oling but with his list matching mine that doesn't really work unless I'm way off on my list.

Oling is town. The more I go through the game the more I see him being town. This is unlike Smash where upon reread and analysis I kept coming to scum oling but didn't act strongly enough.
GGG is offline   Reply With Quote