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Originally Posted by mikephoen
Interesting article and I really appreciate people finding new ways to look at things like this.
That said... something doesn't feel right about how this turned out. I think there must be too much luck or variance even with the fairly large sample size. I say this because cup winners LA and Chicago are right down at the bottom and horrid teams like Buffalo and Edmonton are right at the top.
Later round picks probably really screw this up. One guy who plays 800 games who came from the 6th round for example hammers down 2 teams score, but really all 30 teams missed this guy for multiple rounds but don't 'suffer' in the rankings for it. Anything after the 3rd round is such a crap shoot I don't know if it's fair to use that data.
Looking forward to the rest of the analysis though!
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Agreed
Two weeks ago I asked people to name "good drafting teams" as a I thought I'd run the numbers for what people think are the best and see how they compare.
Then I got addicted to it and did all 30 teams for 10 years to get a more comprehensive study.
But my marker was always Edmonton, and you're right about having high picks and being bad teams getting skewed. I cover that next.