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Originally Posted by Cali Flames Fan
Uh, I doubt it. Even if she manages to kill Doran, power would then move to his son Trystane. Since she was the one to poison his bride to be and true love, then I seriously doubt he would be moved to start a war with the Lannisters. He'd be more likely to execute her and everyone associated with her.
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Well, we've all seen the competency of boy kings thus far.
Although it hasn't been executed well in the show, it appears as though we are being conditioned to somehow see how fierce and conniving Ellaria is, and by extension how fiercely loyal the Sand Snakes are to her and Oberyn.
I don't doubt that they could assassinate both Doran and Trystane should they wish it. Again, they haven't shown it well, but there is a long conflicting interest between the Lannisters and the Dornish, and I would say they could rally a following fairly easily should it be needed. It most likely isn't merely the 4 of them.
Just speculation on what the showrunners have been trying to convey about these characters. They won't be happy with simply killing a princess. They want to take out the entire Lannister bloodline.
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Originally Posted by Matata
Myrcella's ship would return to port immediately and it's going to be obvious to everyone who killed her. Ellaria is a ####### who's only privileges are those allowed to her by the Martell family. She's got less than an hour to do something before the shackles get her.
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She will also probably be more aggressive with her plot now that she has taken the initial step in killing Myrcella. The proverbial #### can go bad and quickly, though the more realistic outcome would be that the ship returns to port, they put Ellaria on trial and detain/imprison the Sand Snakes, and try to restore the peace with King's Landing.
Then again, how open do you think Cersei and Jaime will be to continuing an alliance with a family that harbored Myrcella's assassin?