Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
Where does the extra turned player come from?
Day 2 lynch girly
Night 2 nothing
Day 3 3/15 chance of lynch
Day 4 14 alive unknown spore location
Or
Day 2 lynch other 3/15 chance
Night 2 agent kills girly
Day 3 14 alive unkonwn spore location
Both end up in the identical game states as the day it is doesn't matter only lynches vs spore transfers
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Actually there is a difference. As stated, if girly is a host she is dead in scenario 1 and alive in scenario two. That seems like a pretty material advantage to scenario 1 actually.
I still think Timbo is the most likely host, but seeing the logic like this suggests that killing girly now is the best town play, and we can wait and kill Timbo tomorrow, or someone else if we get more information through the vote.
unvote
vote:girlysports