I'll pick up a bit where Lego left off. The only real information we have at this point (other than hearsay on this spore thing) is that Active was town and who voted for them. I compiled a list for who voted to Active as the time of lynch and summarized their reason for voting for him based on their voting post:
Squiggs - Notes that Active Stick is inactive and figures its too convenient (later indicates it was a flippant remark)
Bizaro - Wants to get the inactives posting more and Active only had 4 posts so far with two of little substance
HG - Indicates Active posts a lot of questions but not much else and decides its time to "turn up the heat"
Timbo - Wants to "run people up the flagpole" and somewhat passively agreed to HG's reason for the vote
Devo - Weird feeling - has the feeling Active was playing similar style to the last time he was mafia
Oling - Wants to avoid missing a lynch and picked Active instead of Girly (his other implied target) - 6th vote to get the "lynch on" by deadline
GGG - Wanted to vote Party, but not enough support at deadline and picked the better of the two options (Girly vs Active) to help ensure a lynch
I did this summary in order of votes as well, so Squiggs is first and GGG was last. I think its important to look at this first vote as I'm guessing there is at least one scum on here (maybe two, but the numbers were not really required, so I'm leaving it at one for now).
Two of the middle votes have me most interested. Timbo votes with little to no reason, other than agreeing quickly with the HG vote, so that's a bit weak. Devo's vote is based of past playing experience, which I suppose isn't a terrible reason on day 1, but is not basing it off anything in the current game. I guess I feel both of those reasons were not strong, and they came in as vote 4 and 5 to make Active the front runner. I think one of the two are scum based on that, but can't pick between the two at this point.
I think GGG did a somewhat similar analysis on the votes on Girly near the deadline - I go back and see if I can pull that. Obviously this does not tell us as much as the Active vote since Girly's status is uncertain, but she was the other front runner before lynch.
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