Assuming Girly is turned 100%
Lynch Girly turned
Day 3 15 alive, oling is either host or currently town.
Day 4 14 alive, spore with high value target 50/50
Lynch Girly town
Day 3 15 alive, oling is either host or currently town.
Day 4 14 alive, spore with high value target
Day 5 possible info
Lynch other girly turned
Day 3 14 alive 3/15 chance of lynched scum, 11/28 chance of high value target being turned.
Lynch other girly not turned
Day 3 15 alive, spore at lvt, next investigation set.
So if girly is turned lynching her adds one day to the game, no extra lynch opportunities. Instead of us lynching other on day 2 and the agent killing at night and the spore going to a high value target and then day 3 starts we lynch girly on day 2, spore does nothing night 2, day 3 we lynch random and night 3 an high value target gets the spore.
The number of lynches and where the spore is is identical except girly could send to the host accidently giving us an atvantage or girly might not be turned. The benefit of lynching girly would be confirming oling isn't turned which is pretty low prob.
Can someone else make any sense of what I just said?
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