Last I had the 4th overall pick in my (very serious) keeper league, same as the Flames did. I tracked the mocks and kept stats which I posted last year. Though I do not have the same pick as the Flames this year (I'm 19th) I have been tracking the mocks again (positions 10-20) since the end of the World Juniors.
There are a lot of mocks out there and I only count ones who give some sound reasoning behind their picks. So many, like the guy who had McDavid at 18, don't get counted. If the mock is done by someone with a history in the process (like Button or MacKenzie) I count their picks at double value.
Unlike last year when there was essentially 6 possibilities (SReinhart, Bennett, Draisatl, Dal Colle, NRitchie & Virtanen) that people thought the Flames would take there are many more possibilities this year at 15. That speaks to the deeper draft and the lower position I think.
This year so far 32 different players have recorded a vote at position 15 and/or for the Flames. The leader, Jeremy Roy, has an underwhelming 11% of the total vote. And many of those votes came in February-March. After building a decent lead he has fallen back to the pack.
The following is the current top ten. The first % number is of the overall vote (all 32 vote getters) and the second % number is of the votes of the top tens only.
1 Jeremy Roy 11.42% 16.05%
2 Evegeni Svechnikov 10.55% 15.21%
3 Nick Merkely 8.34% 11.4%
4 Thomas Chabot 8.22% 11.2%
5 Oliver Kylington 8.17% 11.1%
6 Travis Konecny 7.37% 10.56%
7t Kyle Connor 5.66% 7.39%
7t Paul Bittner 5.66% 7.39%
9t Timo Meier 4.28% 4.85%
9t Mikko Rantanen 4.28% 4.85%
Chabot has been the big riser of late, probably due to a decent U18 showing. Svechnikov has also seen a lot more votes recently. Falling out of the top 10 are Jansen Harkins and Daniel Sprong. Matthew Barzal did get many votes early and I was hoping we'd get a steal there as his injury led to him dropping in to the mid-to-late teens in many mocks. However his strong play at the U18s seem to have boosted him solidly back in the top 12 and higher.
For a positional breakdown 37% see the Flames taking a defensman, 25% LW, 22% RW, 16% a Centre and less than 1% see a goalie. In fact there has been 1 vote total for a goalie and it went to Matej Tomek.
I will update these numbers again closer to the draft if there is interest
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