Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
I actually think BC is going to be a pretty massive battleground. I still think the election gets decided in Quebec, but there are six new seats in B.C., where the Conservatives won 21 of them last time. I think the Greens grab a couple more on the Island, but I would be shocked if the Conservatives retained a lot of seats. There's a tonne of anger at Harper over the pipeline, and the mainland is furious about the coast guard budget being cut, resulting in a longer response time to the recent oil spill. The only question is whether those lost seats go to the Liberals or the NDP.
Also, this is why I think it was such a dumb political move for Trudeau to come out and say he wouldn't form a coalition. It all but guarantees the safety of many of the NDP incumbents, and in any place where it's close and people want to punish the Conservatives, he could lose out to strategic votes.
I think the Bloc will be a non-factor in Quebec, just like last time. They're polling even worse this time.
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I see Grenier has the Greens likely to win two seats this time and carry over 7% of the vote. Putting aside the fact that anything that increases Lizzy May's power is rather frightening, that is likewise a bad thing for the left. So people may be angry in BC, but now they are splitting the vote three ways. That won't end the way they want it to.