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With your math, you're replacing statistically the best goalie in the world with the 16th best goalie.
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There are 30 starting goalies. I replaced him with a middle of the pack goalie, just as I did with Ovy.
And a goalie who was a FA without a ton of suitors. Not like a start up and coming rookie.
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and following that simple math it's closer to 20 to 25 goals instead of 36.
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But a team can actually get a Hiller type goalie quiet easily. Goalies are a dime a dozen. A team can not replace Ovy with a 30 goals 60 pt first liner! They just are not available.
This is why I do not think a goalie should be the most valuable. It is 100X easier to find a starting star goalie then a star foward. Look at the goalie turnover.
So if my option is take Ovy and Hiller type or Price and random FA middle of pack forward I will take Ovy. I believe he is harder to replace and at worst just as valuable to his teams success