Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason14h
Price had 1953 shot and let in 130 goals. His save % was amazing at .933
HOWEVER: If you were to replace Price with Hiller, who had a .918 %, he would have let in an additional 30 goals.
Montreal for the season was +32 in goals. So the change would put them at +2, in the territory of Boston Dallas and SJ (9-10th place in a conference)
Ovy scored 53 to Washingtons 242 goals, for 22%. It is hard to judge what an average replacement for him would be, but as I used Hiller and he was middle of the pack for goalies, I will choose the 135th best scorer in the NHL (9 forwards X 30 teams = 270 skaters excluding 4th line)
That is C. Hagelin who had 17 goals. So Ovy scored 36 more goals then a comparable average level replacement player
Washington scored + 39 goals this year, so the different would be +3. Right in the same range as Montreal without Price.
This obviously doesn't take into account many factors (How the team plays differently knowing Price is back there, Ovy's assists, how teams defend Wash, etc) but although Price has an amazing year, he was worth roughly the same net goals difference at Ovy.
My vote is always for the skater over the goalie
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The problem with this analysis is that you're not accounting for another skater in place of Ovechkin who would have certainly contributed *some* goals to the team number. Even if its only 10-15, that still a huge vote in favor of Price. Not even a question.