Quote:
Originally Posted by Meers
I'd say the Flames are most reminiscent of the 2012/13 Toronto Maple Leafs and the 2013/14 Avalanche - the two teams from recent seasons to experience surprising regular season success despite horrible underlying statistics in 5v5 Corsi For (CF)% and Fenwick For (FF)%. (And let's not kid ourselves, the Flames are bottom three in the league when it comes to possession.)
Those two statistical anomalies went up against strong possession teams in the first round, and both lost in seven games.
Now, fortunately, the Canucks aren't world beaters in the possession department, but they're still stronger than the Flames - ranked 20th in CF% at 5v5.
So, I'd guess the Nucks have an ever so slight advantage - but it's going to be close, with most games being decided by one goal (just like the regular season series) and it'll probably go to 7 games. So, it's a coin flip one way or the otherand will likely be decided by a flukey bounce.
But, no matter what team wins this series, you can rest assured they will get killed in the next round.
And neither of these teams makes the post-season next year.
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First of all who gives a good god damn, I get tired of those comparisons. That Toronto team was putrid defensively and bailed out by exceptional goaltending. The Avs last year had a terrible blueline and got vezina level goaltending. On top of it they lost a key center in the off season and didn't improve their blueline.
The comparisons aren't valid, the Flames are much more well rounded then those teams and surprise, we didn't get vezina goaltending.
Sorry to snap at you but the comparison is idiotic and means very little, and its an argument that people hide behind. Oh look at the possession numbers oh look at the Corsi.
Maybe if the advanced stats model wasn't based around teams that play different styles then the Flames and then ruthlessly applied to a fast transition team like the Flames.
If you want to be worried about possession numbers, the Canucks are a typical puck possession team and their possession numbers aren't good.
But I'll let you in on a couple of things. The only stats that count are wins, and those aren't that advanced, and the Flames got enough wins to qualify for the playoffs.
Plus the regular season is over, those numbers don't apply, new season remember.
And who cares about next year, no team ices the same team year after year.
If your going to use advanced Stats for year after year comparisons at least do some homework and understand why those teams failed.