Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike F
Thanks for your response (and those above), but all this does is now clarify my question to: is a monte carlo analysis reliable for predicting sports outcomes, where the outcome of a given event (i.e. one game between two teams) is not random, but influenced by things like relative team strength, home ice advantage, recent schedule, etc.
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Go to the site - it explains all that.
It does it two ways (your choice): you can make it so every game is random (coin flip); or you can run it weighted (factoring in some of the things you listed).
Personally, I like looking at both - gives me more information.