Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike F
And my question being: If a team goes from 80% to 60% in one game, how accurate was that 80%?
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Is it the 80% that bothers you, or the large fluctuation? The Flames have 4 games left. If they win out, they're 100% in. If they lose out, they're close to 0%. So... 4 games, range of 0-100%... your gut thinks a 20% swing is too much?
I think the swing is in line with statistical expectations. But, regardless, what about the 80%? The size of the swing your question on its accuracy still remains. However, since the size of the swing seems fine to me, I'll guess they're doing okay. The math they use is there on their site for you to see. How accurate? Not sure, it might have a reasonable margin for error. But at least it's fun and something to watch.