Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike F
Has anyone seen any retrospective analysis determining whether the odds this site gives actually turn out to be accurate?
The way they fluctuate based on single results, my gut tells me they're somewhere between unreliable and (mathematically) baseless
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Its a Monte Carlo simulation. Basically they just simulate the season a bunch of times and get the odds that a team makes the playoffs.
When you are dealing with such few games left its not a shock about they swing a ton at this point.