If you want to make predictions, you can either base them on something, or nothing. If you're basing them on something quantifiable, the best available option is 5v5 fenwick (or fenclose if you have a large enough sample).
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"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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