Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
As for Corsi predicting approximately 70% of the playoff teams... in sports, in any given year, predicting 70% of the playoff teams is an absolute slam dunk, and should be considered the very basest of baselines.
Show me a model or metric that can predict to harder 30%, and then I will be impressed.
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This is exactly what I wanted to say when I read that 70% figure. I think that most people on this board could get 70% sitting and looking things over pretty casually in October before the puck drops. That's not a badge of honour!