A team will go through hot stretches where they score lots and dry spells when they don't.
A goaltender will get and carry a team, and then cool off.
For the most part the game is cyclical like that.
'Corsi' tends to be more stable; in large part immune to random streaks or events.
It only makes logical sense that if you out shooting and outchance the opposition, you will tend to win more. It's a fools game to argue against that.
That's how I see the pro analytics argument as completely valid.
|