Quote:
Originally Posted by PsYcNeT
I don't have a horse in this race, but compared to many prediction systems, 73% is pretty damn good. Most barely beat a coin flip.
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Sure, but in a league where more than half the teams qualify for the playoffs, flipping a coin will probably give you a better than 50% success rate if your goal is simply to figure out who does and who doesn't qualify for the playoffs.
My example above listed 8 fairly blatant examples of why the system is flawed. But there are probably close to 6 or 7 more teams where corsi doesn't really represent where the team is (Colorado at 29th, Arizona at 23rd, Edmonton at 22nd, St Louis at 11th, etc.) So really, how useful is the system when probably half the teams corsi standings don't align with the actual standings this far into the season?