Quote:
Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce
We need a thread to complain about the chart.
Because I want to complain about the chart.
The maths don't sit well with me. It's no big deal, but if I'm to accept the methodology as sound....
Both the Kings and Flames won.
This same sequence, repeated, moves the Flames closer and closer as Nd closer to clinching... yet the Kings chances of making playoffs increased more than the Flames. This should not happen. The Flames chances should have increased more, no?
Models should reflect actual events. I don't see how this does that well.
Am I missing something? Not understanding something thinking the Flames chances gave to have risen more?
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I don't believe the chart has anything to do with clinching or anything like that. Correct me if I am wrong but all it does is try and predict who is most likely to make playoffs based off their Corsi and Fenwick. I don't think it takes into consideration games left, strength of schedule, and stuff like that.
Again, it's just another tool to use along with all the other tools available to us. It is not the be-all-end-all, or the prognosticator of prognosticators.