Quote:
Originally Posted by dissentowner
Nope, I wouldn't. Ok, if the chart is so right explain Montreal. Hell, screw points, lets just change the NHL so that it goes by Corsi instead, wins and losses obviously mean jack right?
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Montreal has one of the things Corsi and Fenwick can't account for - the world's best goaltender. What we have is an unusually high shooting percentage. And again, I don't get what you are so angry about here. Nobody is suggesting that we "just change the NHL so it goes by Corsi instead". Nor has anyone said "wins and losses obviously mean jack". So please, step back, take a deep breath, and calm down.
Like I said before, these are just prediction models. This model says that teams that possess the puck more tend to win more. It does not say exceptions do not exist - otherwise LA would be 100% and Calgary 0%. What it is saying, really, is that Calgary and LA
are exceptions. And the model is right in saying that much. You're only kidding yourself if you think the Flames would routinely make the playoffs drowning in shot attempts the way we are this year. But against all odds - something even the Flames themselves admit in their letter to the team sent with the playoff ticket invoices - Calgary is in this race. Accept this model for what it is - an argument that we have been charmed this year.