Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
You're right; it wasn't a serious question. I don't actually think you forgot that I've consistently pointed out that things like goaltending, special teams play, players with higher or lower than average finishing ability and injuries (not to mention random variance) can lead to different results than possession stats would lead one to expect. You've demonstrated you're capable of reading and understanding my posts. So the fact that you would act as though I'd never said anything of the sort yields the obvious conclusion that you're doing so for rhetorical effect, rather than honestly responding to my actual views.
Better predictor of results than any other available method that McCurdy tried using and certainly better than intuition over the long term. Over the short term, the things that aren't taken account of there - including just random puck bounces - play a larger role in determining results. Hence, if you're playing fifty games between the Blackhawks and the Sabres, the methodology used in the chart would lead you to pick the Hawks, and being wrong in that prediction is far less likely than it would be if you were to pick the Hawks to win one game over the Sabres. That's an oversimplification but it demonstrates why, as we get closer to the finish line, the "best guess" provided is more prone to error.
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You have also claimed that possession stats are the best predictors of future success.
Before you were challenged to put up your own cash, you defended this chart vehemently.
Now, you seem to be of the opinion that other factors seem to be more important.
Like Street Pharmacist said: "it's shown to be more accurate". Right? Right?